LLM Economics

LLM Economics

Token math, model selection, and the true unit cost of every generation.

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Token Pricing Economics: Will LLM Providers Keep Their Pricing Power?
LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20265 min read

Token Pricing Economics: Will LLM Providers Keep Their Pricing Power?

Benedict Evans argues that today's token prices reflect a temporary supply crunch and that every visible market dynamic points toward frontier models becoming commodity infrastructure, which means founders should plan for falling LLM costs rather than assume today's rate cards.

Paying Twice for AI: What Nadella's Warning Means for Your LLM Costs
LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20265 min read

Paying Twice for AI: What Nadella's Warning Means for Your LLM Costs

Satya Nadella argues that companies buying proprietary AI pay twice, once in cash for tokens and again in the proprietary knowledge their usage teaches the model, and that second payment should change how you count AI costs.

Tokenizer Inflation: Why $/1M Token Prices Are Not Comparable Across LLMs
LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20265 min read

Tokenizer Inflation: Why $/1M Token Prices Are Not Comparable Across LLMs

The same file can become up to 73% more tokens on one frontier model than another, so a $/1M token price is only comparable after you adjust for each model's tokenizer.

LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20264 min read

How to Think About Token Pricing: 4 Mental Models for AI Founders

A recent Hacker News front-page debate about LLM token pricing keeps circling four mental models, and the one you adopt quietly determines how your product should be priced.

The $3 Trillion AI Question and the Only Version of It You Can Answer
LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20264 min read

The $3 Trillion AI Question and the Only Version of It You Can Answer

Sequoia's David Cahn now estimates 2026 AI infrastructure spending at $1.5 trillion, implying roughly $3 trillion in revenue to justify it, a question no founder can answer at industry scale but every founder must answer at product scale.

LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20264 min read

Token Economics for AI Budgets: Why Falling LLM Prices Don't Lower Your Bill

The FinOps Foundation argues that tokens are the atomic unit of AI value, and that consumption growth and workload mix, not falling per-token list prices, now determine what organizations actually spend.

The $165K Rewrite: What Bun's 11-Day AI Migration Says About Token Economics
LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20264 min read

The $165K Rewrite: What Bun's 11-Day AI Migration Says About Token Economics

Bun's team compressed a Zig-to-Rust migration estimated at 1-2 years of engineering into 11 days by spending roughly $165K on AI coding agents, one of the clearest public datapoints yet on what large token budgets actually buy.

GPU Cost Per Million Tokens in 2026: What Self-Hosting an LLM Really Costs
LLM Economics
Jul 14, 20264 min read

GPU Cost Per Million Tokens in 2026: What Self-Hosting an LLM Really Costs

Fresh benchmarks across five GPU types put self-hosted LLM inference between $0.16 and $3.58 per million tokens, but your real cost is set by utilization, not by the GPU's hourly rate.

Open Source vs Frontier AI: Why Volume and Spend Tell Opposite Stories
LLM Economics
Jul 9, 20264 min read

Open Source vs Frontier AI: Why Volume and Spend Tell Opposite Stories

Short answer: open-source models are winning token volume while frontier labs keep most of the spend, because the two serve different phases of the same lifecycle, discovery versus production.

Provider Substitution: The AI Cost-Cutting Lever Microsoft Just Pulled
LLM Economics
Jul 8, 20264 min read

Provider Substitution: The AI Cost-Cutting Lever Microsoft Just Pulled

Microsoft is now routing a share of Excel and Word prompts to its own MAI models instead of OpenAI and Anthropic, a direct move to cut AI costs and protect margins.

The Token Apocalypse: Surviving Runaway AI Agent Token Costs
LLM Economics
Jul 7, 20264 min read

The Token Apocalypse: Surviving Runaway AI Agent Token Costs

Short answer: AI agents multiply token consumption by looping, retrying, and chaining calls, so the fastest way to protect margins is to route cheaper work to the right model and model provider switches against your real usage before costs spiral.

The Real Cost of AI: What Google and Amazon's Emissions Spike Signals for Your Token Margins
LLM Economics
Jul 6, 20264 min read

The Real Cost of AI: What Google and Amazon's Emissions Spike Signals for Your Token Margins

The advertised price per token is not the real cost of AI: Google's carbon emissions jumped 25% and Amazon's 16% in a year, a signal that the energy behind every inference call is getting more expensive, not less.

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